Denmark Just Called a Snap Election. Trump's Greenland Threat Made It Possible.
PM Mette Frederiksen set an election for March 24 after her approval soared from defying Trump. When threatened internationally, bounce domestically.
Mette Frederiksen just called Denmark to the polls.
The Danish prime minister announced Thursday she's triggering a snap election for March 24. Her coalition's still in power. Parliament wasn't due to dissolve until 2026's end. So why now?
Trump threatened to take Greenland. Her numbers went up.
The Greenland Bounce
When Trump floated buying Greenland in January, Frederiksen didn't hedge. She said no. Loudly. Called it "absurd." Defended Danish sovereignty with zero diplomatic softening.
Danish voters loved it.
Her Social Democrats surged 7 points in February polling. The coalition went from precarious to comfortable. Opposition parties started bickering. And Frederiksen saw her window.
Elections aren't just about issues. They're about timing. Call one when you're up, and momentum carries you through.
The Political Calculation
Frederiksen's been walking a tightrope since 2022. Her government's a fragile three-party coalition — center-left Social Democrats, center-right Liberals, and centrist Moderates. They agreed on basically nothing except keeping the far-right out.
Then Greenland gave her something better than policy: a clear villain and a patriotic stance.
Trump's comments unified Denmark in a way domestic politics never could. Conservative voters who'd never back her economic agenda suddenly saw her as a defender of sovereignty. Liberal voters already liked her. The center came along for the ride.
She's striking while that coalition still holds.
The Risk
Calling elections when you're ahead isn't risk-free.
Campaigns expose fractures. Her coalition partners might decide they can win more seats by distancing themselves. Opposition parties will pivot from Greenland (where they agree with her) to immigration, taxes, and healthcare (where they don't).
And Trump's unpredictable. If he backs off Greenland or pivots to some new provocation, the momentum dies.
But Frederiksen clearly thinks the risk of waiting is worse. Poll bounces fade. Coalitions crack. Better to lock it in now than watch it slip away over nine months.
What It Means
Denmark's not the only place where standing up to Trump plays well domestically. Leaders across Europe are watching.
The lesson: international threats can be domestic opportunities. When a foreign power overreaches, voters rally. And politicians who time it right can turn a crisis into a mandate.
Frederiksen's betting Danish voters will remember who stood firm when it mattered.
We'll know if she was right in four weeks.
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