Mexico's Most Wanted Just Died. Now the Real War Begins.
El Mencho, leader of Mexico's Jalisco New Generation Cartel, was killed. The succession fight has already started—and it's violent.
El Mencho is dead.
If that name doesn't immediately register, here's what you need to know: Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, the man known as El Mencho, ran the Jalisco New Generation Cartel—one of the most violent and powerful drug trafficking organizations in the world. The US offered a $10 million reward for his capture. Mexico offered 30 million pesos. He'd been Mexico's most wanted man for years.
And now he's gone.
What Happens When a Cartel Boss Dies?
This isn't the end of the story. It's the beginning of something messier.
When the leader of a cartel as powerful as CJNG is killed, the organization doesn't dissolve—it fractures. Different factions, different lieutenants, different territories all start jockeying for control. And the way they settle those disputes isn't through elections.
Revenge attacks have already started across multiple Mexican states. This is the succession fight playing out in real time.
Why CJNG Mattered
The Jalisco New Generation Cartel wasn't just another trafficking group. Under El Mencho, CJNG became one of the most aggressive and militarized criminal organizations in the Americas. They didn't just smuggle drugs—they controlled territory, fought the military, and operated across at least a dozen countries.
They trafficked fentanyl into the United States. They moved cocaine from South America. They controlled methamphetamine production. And they did it all with a level of violence that made headlines regularly.
El Mencho himself was elusive. Despite years of pressure from both US and Mexican authorities, he evaded capture through a combination of bribery, intimidation, and military-grade security. The fact that he's been killed—not captured—tells you something about how this went down.
What's Next?
The immediate question isn't what happens to CJNG. The organization is too large, too profitable, and too entrenched to disappear overnight.
The question is: who takes over?
Internal power struggles tend to be violent. Rival cartels will see this as an opportunity to expand into CJNG territory. Mexican security forces will try to capitalize on the chaos. And civilians caught in the middle will pay the price.
There's also a bigger question: does this actually change anything?
Killing or capturing cartel leaders has been a cornerstone of Mexico's drug war strategy for decades. And yet, the cartels keep operating. When one boss falls, another rises. When one organization fragments, new ones form.
El Mencho's death is significant. But if history is any guide, the violence doesn't end here—it escalates.
The Pattern
This is the cycle: capture or kill the leader, destabilize the organization, trigger a succession war, violence spikes, a new leader emerges, and the cycle starts again.
It's been playing out in Mexico for over a decade. Pablo Escobar's death in 1993 didn't end the cocaine trade—it just redistributed the power. Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán's capture didn't stop the Sinaloa Cartel—it splintered it into competing factions.
El Mencho's death won't stop CJNG. But it will reshape how power flows through Mexico's underworld. And that reshaping is already underway—measured in gunfire, not press conferences.
The headlines will celebrate this as a victory. And maybe it is. But for the people living in contested cartel territory, the next few months are going to be dangerous.
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