WMO outlook flags Arctic overheating and Amazon drought risk before 2030

Published by Albis · 29 May 2026

The World Meteorological Organization and UK Met Office forecast near-record global heat, an Arctic warming nearly 3F by 2030, and dangerous Amazon drought and wildfire risk as fossil-fuel emissions keep driving extreme weather

• • The flagged hotspots matter globally because they affect carbon storage, biodiversity, water systems and fire risk.
• • The same outlook warns of a dangerous drought with potential wildfires for the Amazon, described as a crucial part of Earth’s natural defenses against human-caused climate change.
• • The warnings sit inside a broader five-year forecast from the UN climate agency and the UK Met Office.
• • NBC and KSHB report that there is a 75% chance the average global temperature between 2026 and 2030 will be more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.